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Troubling futures: Scenarios and scenario planning for organizational decision making

Healey, M. P. and Hodgkinson, G. P

In: G. P. Hodgkinson, and W. H. Starbuck, editor(s). The Oxford Handbook of Organizational Decision Making. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press; 2008. p. 565-585.

Access to files

Abstract

Introduction – Scenarios as Cognitive Devices – Breaking the Shackles: Scenarios and Cognitive Inertia – Basic Effects of Scenarios on Judgments and Decisions – Effects of Scenarios on Uncertainty and Confidence – Scenarios Can Anchor and Restrict Thinking – The Role of Scenarios in Attenuating and Exacerbating Biases – The Problem with Incredible Futures: The Plausibility Paradox – Blowing Hot and Cold: Affective Dimensions of Scenario Planning – Summary and Conclusions

Bibliographic metadata

Type of resource:
Content type:
Type of book contribution:
Publication date:
Place of publication:
Oxford, UK
Contribution start page:
565
Contribution end page:
585
Contribution editor(s) list:
Abstract:
Introduction – Scenarios as Cognitive Devices – Breaking the Shackles: Scenarios and Cognitive Inertia – Basic Effects of Scenarios on Judgments and Decisions – Effects of Scenarios on Uncertainty and Confidence – Scenarios Can Anchor and Restrict Thinking – The Role of Scenarios in Attenuating and Exacerbating Biases – The Problem with Incredible Futures: The Plausibility Paradox – Blowing Hot and Cold: Affective Dimensions of Scenario Planning – Summary and Conclusions
Digtial Object Identifier:
10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199290468.003.0030
Book ISBN:
9780199290468
Series title:
Oxford Handbooks
Language:
eng
Related website(s):
  • Oxford Handbook of Organizational Decision Making http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/oso/public/content/oho_business/9780199290468/toc.html
General notes:
  • Published to Oxford Handbooks Online: September 2009

Institutional metadata

University researcher(s):

Record metadata

Manchester eScholar ID:
uk-ac-man-scw:130856
Created by:
Healey, Mark
Created:
16th September, 2011, 12:51:42
Last modified:
12th March, 2014, 14:06:29

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